PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
December 31 2%In testa tra 8 esiti
Qualità del mercato
60 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
651,1 €
Liquidità
3,7K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
1.1 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
12
Variazione 7g
-0.8 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
29 dic 25, 22:05 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Russia capture Prymorske by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia capture Orikhiv by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia capture Lyman in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia capture Kramatorsk at least once before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine capture more territory than it loses to Russia in October 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Prymorske, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prymorske will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.