PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attualeSeptember 30 8%-4.0pt
Qualita del mercato
75 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
96,6K €
Liquidità
56,3K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
4.2% / 6.1%
Spread
1.9 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 20 minuti fa
28 lug 26, 3:2830 set 26, 23:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
September 308%
Trend del volume
$110.1k28 lug2g di dati29 lug
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Ukraine through a qualifying military action between market creation and the specified date, Kyiv time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed at Ukraine.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g.