PolymarketChiusoVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoQuesto mercato è chiuso e in attesa di una risoluzione confermata.
In attesa di risoluzione verificata
CoinRithm attende un regolamento confermato dal provider prima di trattare questo mercato come risolto.
Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 9 set 2026, 01:56 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
September 15 100%+57.0pt
Qualità del mercato
65 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
15,9K €
Liquidità
50K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
99.1% / 100.0%
Spread
0.9 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo3 set 26, 14:59 UTC30 set 26, 23:59 UTC
Cronologia delle Probabilità
September 15100%
September 30100%
100%
100%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Iran target Ukraine by which date?
PolymarketWill Iran target Qatar by which date?
PolymarketWill Iran target Saudi Arabia by which date?
PolymarketWill a significant number of Palestinians from Gaza be permanently resettled in Egypt and/or Jordan under Trump's term?
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Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Jordan through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Amman time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed at Jordan.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.