PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Hike 82%
Qualità del mercato
54 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
19,4 €
Liquidità
2,4K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
80.0% / 84.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
+0.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 minuti fa
14 lug 26, 16:22 UTC31 dic 28, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketFed rate decision in September 2026
Robinhood (Rothera)How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
PolymarketFed rate cut before 2027?
KalshiNext Fed rate hike?
KalshiRegole
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate.
- The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
- This market will resolve to “Hike” if the first FOMC decision to change the upper bound of the target federal funds rate between market creation and December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET is one that increases the specified rate compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
- This market will resolve to “Cut” if the first FOMC decision to change the upper bound of the target federal funds rate between market creation and December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET is one that decreases the specified rate compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
- If the FOMC announces no decision changing the specified rate between market creation and December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “50-50”.
- Any decision changing the specified rate within the specified timeframe, including emergency and non-scheduled decisions, will qualify.
Mercati aperti
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt53.9%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt43.3%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 35 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 Mln €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.3pt1%
+2 altri esiti
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt42%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt2.4%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93.9%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.8pt4%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.4pt2%
+10 altri esiti
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts+0.6pt91.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.1pt7.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.2pt1%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66.7%
- 25 bps increase30.4%
- 25 bps decrease-0.5pt2%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
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- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per What will be the next Fed rate change??
- Polymarket quota Hike al 82% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve What will be the next Fed rate change??
- What will be the next Fed rate change? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2028.
- Come viene liquidato What will be the next Fed rate change??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate.