PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 94.1%
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
835,8 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
4.0% / 7.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
1
Variazione 7g
+0.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
15 lug 26, 00:15 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Reckless Ben's video on Bricks and Minifigs have 10 million or more views before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsFeature movie about the Bricks and Minifigs/Reckless Ben dispute announced by EoY 2027
Manifold MarketsJerome Powell in jail before 2027?
PolymarketWill Elon spend a night in jail by EOY 2026 if Trump loses, or not if Trump wins?
Manifold MarketsWill Ekrem Imamoglu leave jail by the end of 2026?
FutuurTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PolymarketRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the referenced Reckless Ben, otherwise known as Ben Schneider, serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison by the listed date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government authorities, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercati aperti
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+4.5pt65%
- Yes-4.5pt35%
- Volume totale
- 347,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 27,4K €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026+0.1pt5%
- Volume totale
- 497,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 12,5K €
POLYMARKETNothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Yes+2.0pt83.2%
- No-2.0pt16.8%
- Volume totale
- 676K €
- Volume 24h
- 8,2K €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume totale
- 9,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 4,6K €
KALSHIWill Trump be impeached and removed from office?
- No84%
- Yes-1.0pt16%
- Volume totale
- 577,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 3,7K €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30+1.5pt7%
+3 altri esiti
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- What will Brett Kavanaugh say during his Notre Dame Lecture?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
- Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?
- Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Andrew Tate released from custody by which date?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Reckless Ben in jail by December 31??
- Polymarket quota No al 94% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Reckless Ben in jail by December 31??
- Reckless Ben in jail by December 31? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Reckless Ben in jail by December 31??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the referenced Reckless Ben, otherwise known as Ben Schneider, serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison by the listed date (ET).