PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
September 28 73.2%+20.5ptIn testa tra 23 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
September 28 73.2%+20.5ptQualità del mercato
63 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
25,8K €
Liquidità
43,2K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
8.0 pt
Spread ampioCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 minuto fa
24 set 26, 07:31 UTC16 ott 26, 03:59 UTC
Trend
On or prior to September 24Persa
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Ordine minimo (quote):
- 5
- Incremento di prezzo:
- 1 punti percentuali
- Commissioni:
- Sì
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Next Claude Sonnet released by which date?
PolymarketClaude Sonnet 5 METR 50% time horizon
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic release Claude Sonnet 5.5 by October 15, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat will Claude Sonnet's output token price hit in 2026?
PolymarketWill a new Claude Sonnet model be released in September 2026?
Manifold MarketsClaude Sonnet 4.6 METR 50% time horizon
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public.
- Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet.
- Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants.
- Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
