PolymarketChiusoVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: 25-29
Risolto: 22 ott 2026, 16:07
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Esito Vincente
25-29
A 7 giorni
—
A 24 ore
—
Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 23 ott 2026, 13:43 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Cronologia delle Probabilità
25-29100%
20-240%
35-390%
30-341%
40+0%
25-29Vinta
20-24Persa
30-34Persa
35-39Persa
40+Persa
<20Persa
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31?
Polymarket0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by which date?
PolymarketWill 100 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill 200 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026?
Manifold MarketsStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to actual normal of 100 ships per day during Trump's presidency.
Manifold MarketsWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
KalshiRegole
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from October 12, 2026, through October 18, 2026, inclusive.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published.
- If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
- In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections.