Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to actual normal of 100 ships per day during Trump's presidency.
US PoliticsOne-OffMiddle East2aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 54%
Previsori
17
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto30 giu 26, 16:51 UTC20 gen 29, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
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Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 100 for any date after market creation up until January 1st 2029.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level.
- The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at chokepoint6 , both in the chart and through downloadable files.
- IMF Portwatch: chokepoint6
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to actual normal of 100 ships per day during Trump's presidency.?
- Manifold Markets quota No al 54% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to actual normal of 100 ships per day during Trump's presidency.?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to actual normal of 100 ships per day during Trump's presidency. dovrebbe risolversi il 20 gennaio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to actual normal of 100 ships per day during Trump's presidency.?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 100 for any date after market creation up until January 1st 2029.