PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attualeNo 96%-0.0pt
Qualita del mercato
74 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
440,7 €
Liquidità
42,4K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
3.6% / 4.6%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoVariazione 7g
+0.8 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 minuti fa
13 nov 25, 16:2531 dic 26, 0:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Yes4%
Trend del volume
$5012 lug26g di dati27 lug
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership.
- Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
- Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt.
- Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.