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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Geopolitica
  3. China coup attempt before 2027?
China coup attempt before 2027?

China coup attempt before 2027?

0.9% (24h)One-OffGeopoliticaChina6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì
Sì 3%-0.0%
Qualita del mercato

64 / 100

Qualità media
Volume 24h

1,6K €

Liquidità

38K €

Alta liquidità
Bid / Ask

2.9% / 3.4%

Spread

17.2%

Spread ampio
Variazione 7g

+0.3%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 3 minuti fa

13 nov 25, 16:2631 dic 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Yes3%

Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership.
  • Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
  • Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt.
  • Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.

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Attivi in questi argomenti

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Notizie Correlate

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Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership.
  • Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
  • Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt.
  • Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.