Will there be a coup attempt against Donald Trump during his second term?
PoliticaGeopoliticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElezione2a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 89.2%
Previsori
65
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto9 nov 24, 05:49 UTC22 gen 29, 07:59 UTC
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Since what counts as a "coup" and what is sufficient grounds for a coup to have been "attempted" are potentially tricky to adjudicate, I will use my best judgement when deciding edge cases.
- I am open to arguments and will aim to resolve according to the the spirit of the question.
- That being said, to provide some insight into what I will be looking for, I imagine that a "coup attempt" is a serious, deliberate effort to forcibly seize the federal executive branch of the United States.
- The effort may be successful or unsuccessful.
- This question resolves YES if a coup attempt is made against Donald Trump during his second term, and NO on 21 Jan 2029 if no coup attempt has occurred.
- This question may also resolve NO early if Donald Trump ceases to be US President and therefore it is not possible to coup him (e.g. death, resignation).
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will there be a coup attempt against Donald Trump during his second term??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 89% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will there be a coup attempt against Donald Trump during his second term??
- Will there be a coup attempt against Donald Trump during his second term? dovrebbe risolversi il 22 gennaio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Will there be a coup attempt against Donald Trump during his second term??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Since what counts as a "coup" and what is sufficient grounds for a coup to have been "attempted" are potentially tricky to adjudicate, I will use my best judgement when deciding edge cases.