Will Section 4 of the 25th Amendment be invoked against Donald Trump by his VP and cabinet during his second term?
One-OffPolitica USAPoliticaElezione2a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 92.2%
Previsori
13
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo6 nov 24, 20:14 UTC22 gen 29, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Regole
This question resolves YES if Section 4 of the 25th Amendment is invoked against President Trump by his Vice President and a majority of his cabinet (or other body as Congress may designate, per the Amendment) before the end of Donald Trump's second term on 20 Jan 2029.
- Section 4 of the 25th Amendment allows the Vice President and a majority of a president's cabinet to declare that the president is unable to perform his duties, and thereby transfer presidential powers to the Vice President.
- This question resolves NO on 21 Jan 2029 if Section 4 of the 25th Amendment has not been invoked against President Donald Trump before then.
- This question may resolve NO early if Donald Trump ceases to be president for other reasons and therefore cannot have Section 4 of the 25th Amendment used against him (e.g. death, resignation, removal via impeachment).
