Will there be a coup attempt that kills more than 100 people in any rich democracy before April 2123?
InflazioneOne-OffGeopoliticaManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 88.9%
Previsori
8
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 22 ore fa
Obsoleto7 apr 23, 23:16 UTC1 apr 23, 07:00 UTC
Trend
Regole
See this Twitter thread for context: https://twitter.com/NathanB60857242/status/1644468251596914689
- Coups can have destabilizing effects on nations, leading to loss of life, political turmoil, and economic consequences.
- In this question, we aim to predict the likelihood of a coup attempt occurring in a rich democracy, leading to the deaths of over one hundred people, within the next century.
- Will there be a coup attempt in a rich democracy, resulting in the death of more than one hundred people, before April 1st, 2123?
- Resolution Criteria:
- Definitions and Clarification:
