Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 70.4%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto1 ago 26, 16:23 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill we have a [decent] end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich companies will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before 2027?
KalshiTime's Person of the Year for 2026
KalshiTIME Person of the Year 2026
PolymarketRegole
Script, animation, music, character avatars, character voices, what else?- all of which are AI generated.
- Doesn't have to be a single multimodal model, the humans can do the stitching then together work.
- Counts as series of there's atleast one coherent story line across multiple episodes. #episodes must be >=3.
- (Identical market to: source market)
Mercati aperti
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 135,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 102,7K €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 325K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 70% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2026??
- Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Script, animation, music, character avatars, character voices, what else?- all of which are AI generated.