Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 69%
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82
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo4 ott 23, 21:54 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich companies will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before 2027?
KalshiTop AI model in September?
KalshiWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketRegole
@firstuserhere made an interesting market series here but the resolution criteria are very forgiving.
- This market attempts to answer the same question with less degrees of freedom.
- Market Resolves YES Requirements: - All relevant aspects are AI generated: Script, animation, music, art, voices, sounds, etc. - One coherent storyline that goes across 3+ episodes. - Episodes are at least 20 minutes in length. - Quality: I personally consider the quality decent or reasonable. - Characters express movement and animation consistent with anime that would be aired on Crunchyroll.
- (not neccessarily big budget) - Primarily uses 2D animation style. 3D models do not count. - Should appear to have a standard "anime" style.
- If the above are not met this market resolves NO.
- I will NOT bet in this market.
Mercati aperti
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 135,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 102,7K €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 325K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 altri esiti
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will we have a [decent] end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2029??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 69% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will we have a [decent] end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2029??
- Will we have a [decent] end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2029? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Will we have a [decent] end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2029??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: @firstuserhere made an interesting market series here but the resolution criteria are very forgiving.