Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 72.3%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto27 feb 23, 12:22 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill we have a [decent] end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich companies will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before 2027?
KalshiTop AI model in September?
KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRegole
Script, animation, music, character avatars, character voices, what else?- all of which are AI generated.
- Doesn't have to be a single multimodal model, the humans can do the stitching then together work.
- Counts as series of there's atleast one coherent story line across multiple episodes. #episodes must be >=3.
Mercati aperti
AI
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Volume totale
- 224,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 160,5K €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,3 Mln €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 344,9K €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
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- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 72% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2026??
- Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Script, animation, music, character avatars, character voices, what else?- all of which are AI generated.