Will Ukraine militarily recapture Sumy Oblast by the end of the war?
GeopoliticaOne-OffRussia / Ucraina1a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 07:03 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 55.3%
Previsori
4
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto4 giu 26, 23:45 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve YES if, at any time before the formal conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, Ukraine militarily recaptures Sumy Oblast.
- For the purpose of this market, Ukraine has recaptured Sumy Oblast once Russia controls no more than 100 square kilometres of the region.
- This market will otherwise resolve NO.
- Clarifications
- The close date may be extended as necessary.