Will Trump tariff European countries over Greenland?
Trade PolicyOne-OffUS PoliticsElezioneEuropePoliticaCorporate ActionsManifold MarketsChiusoSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: No (94%)
Risolto: 15 ago 2026, 18:07
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 94%
Previsori
31
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 giorni fa
Obsoleto17 gen 26, 17:3415 ago 26, 18:07
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Yes6%
No94%
94%
6%
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Regole
Resolves YES if at least one of the tariffs at least as large as stated in this Truth Social post are implemented at the latest by the times detailed in this post on at least one European country for the explicit purposes of acquiring Greenland
- https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/115911344443637897
- Resolution Criteria
- The market resolves YES if the US implements at least 10% tariffs on at least one European country beginning February 1, 2026, or at least 25% tariffs on at least one European country beginning June 1, 2026, explicitly for the purpose of acquiring Greenland.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the Trump administration and verified through official trade policy sources such as the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative (https://ustr.gov/) or the U.S. Department of Commerce (https://www.commerce.gov/).
- The market resolves NO if no such tariffs are implemented by June 1, 2026, or if any implemented tariffs are not explicitly tied to Greenland acquisition.
