PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 98%+5.0pt
Qualita del mercato
66 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
149,5 €
Liquidità
12,3K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
1.0% / 2.8%
Spread
1.8 pt
Spread strettoComments
0
Variazione 7g
-0.8 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 minuti fa
31 lug 26, 20:1731 ago 26, 23:59
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Regole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
- Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
- The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
- Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
