Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Sì 64%
Previsori
11
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto17 dic 22, 17:08 UTC31 dic 28, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the US or Israel threaten to use nuclear weapons against Iran before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill the US or Israel use nuclear weapons against Iran before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine acquire nuclear weapons by the end of 2028, depending on the outcome of the U.S. presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill any of the UN’s Security Council permanent members leave the Non-Proliferation Treaty by the end of 2026?
FutuurWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
PolymarketRegole
Currently, there are nine states who are generally considered to posess nuclear weapons.
- Will the number be higher at any time until end of year 2028?
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+7.0pt81.4%
- New People (NL)-3.6pt16.7%
- Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)-0.8pt1%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 28,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,5 Mln €
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No83.2%
- Yes16.8%
- Volume totale
- 58,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 290,2K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.2pt56.1%
- October 3131.8%
- September 30-2.0pt10.3%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31-2.0pt19%
- October 31-3.0pt10%
- September 30-1.6pt2%
+9 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No+0.5pt96%
- Yes-0.5pt4%
- Volume totale
- 36,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 129,1K €
POLYMARKETNext round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- March 31, 2027+1.5pt63%
- December-1.5pt41%
- October+3.5pt27%
+9 altri esiti
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will there be further proliferation of nuclear weapons until 2028??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 64% al 18 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will there be further proliferation of nuclear weapons until 2028??
- Will there be further proliferation of nuclear weapons until 2028? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Will there be further proliferation of nuclear weapons until 2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Currently, there are nine states who are generally considered to posess nuclear weapons.