Will Ukraine acquire nuclear weapons by the end of 2028, depending on the outcome of the U.S. presidential election?

Politica Tecnologia Geopolitica2a

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

Trump wins, Ukraine does not acquire nuclear weapons. 89.5%

In testa tra 4 esiti

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Variazione 7g

0.0 pts

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 9 ore fa

Obsoleto

22 ott 24, 21:01 UTC1 gen 29, 22:59 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Mercati Correlati

Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.

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Will the US or Israel use nuclear weapons against Iran before 2029?

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Will there be further proliferation of nuclear weapons until 2028?

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Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by which date?

Polymarket

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by which date?

Polymarket

Will the US acquire any new territory?

Kalshi

Regole

Ukraine inherited substantial nuclear expertise and infrastructure from the Soviet era, including nuclear reactors and scientific knowledge.

Ukraine renounced nuclear weapons in 1994 under the Budapest Memorandum and dismantled its arsenal, but it retains civilian nuclear power capabilities and access to technical expertise.
If credible evidence emerges after the election that Ukraine possesses nuclear weapons, this market will resolve accordingly.
It will be resolved as N/A if the election remains undecided.

Segnala un problema di dati su questo mercato

Will Ukraine acquire nuclear weapons by the end of 2028, depending on the outcome of the U.S. presidential election?

Politica Tecnologia Geopolitica2a

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

Trump wins, Ukraine does not acquire nuclear weapons. 89.5%

In testa tra 4 esiti

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Variazione 7g

0.0 pts

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 9 ore fa

Obsoleto

22 ott 24, 21:01 UTC1 gen 29, 22:59 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Mercati Correlati

Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.

Will the US or Israel threaten to use nuclear weapons against Iran before 2029?

Manifold Markets

Will the US or Israel use nuclear weapons against Iran before 2029?

Manifold Markets

Will there be further proliferation of nuclear weapons until 2028?

Manifold Markets

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by which date?

Polymarket

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by which date?

Polymarket

Will the US acquire any new territory?

Kalshi

Regole

Ukraine inherited substantial nuclear expertise and infrastructure from the Soviet era, including nuclear reactors and scientific knowledge.

Ukraine renounced nuclear weapons in 1994 under the Budapest Memorandum and dismantled its arsenal, but it retains civilian nuclear power capabilities and access to technical expertise.
If credible evidence emerges after the election that Ukraine possesses nuclear weapons, this market will resolve accordingly.
It will be resolved as N/A if the election remains undecided.

Segnala un problema di dati su questo mercato

Domande frequenti

Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Ukraine acquire nuclear weapons by the end of 2028, depending on the outcome of the U.S. presidential election??: Manifold Markets quota Trump wins, Ukraine does not acquire nuclear weapons. al 90% al 18 settembre 2026.
Quando si risolve Will Ukraine acquire nuclear weapons by the end of 2028, depending on the outcome of the U.S. presidential election??: Will Ukraine acquire nuclear weapons by the end of 2028, depending on the outcome of the U.S. presidential election? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2029.
Come viene liquidato Will Ukraine acquire nuclear weapons by the end of 2028, depending on the outcome of the U.S. presidential election??: Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Ukraine inherited substantial nuclear expertise and infrastructure from the Soviet era, including nuclear reactors and scientific knowledge.

Will Ukraine acquire nuclear weapons by the end of 2028, depending on the outcome of the U.S. presidential election?

Will Ukraine acquire nuclear weapons by the end of 2028, depending on the outcome of the U.S. presidential election?

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