Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 53%
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13
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 13 minuti fa
19 dic 23, 09:24 UTC1 gen 00, 22:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will there be a nuclear war in the next 50 years?
Manifold MarketsWill a nuclear war wipe out humanity by 2100?
Manifold MarketsWill nuclear war cause a global catastrophe killing at least 10% of humans before 2100?
Manifold MarketsIf there are nuclear detonations by the end of 2026, by who?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves yes if nuclear weapons used in a conflict kill over 10 million people.
- Resolves no if not resolved yes by 2100