Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale🇮🇷 Iran 53.9%In testa tra 10 esiti
Previsori
42
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto4 mar 26, 12:37 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will there be a Nuclear Explosion by 2030
Manifold MarketsWill there be a nuclear war before 2100?
Manifold MarketsWill there be nuclear powered supersonic airplanes by 2100?
Manifold MarketsWill there be more nuclear warheads in the world in 2030 than 2023?
Manifold MarketsWhich Chinese tech companies announce a formal AI partnership with a Russian entity before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Canada sign a binding procurement contract for the Saab Gripen fighter before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If there is a nuclear detonation in 2026, resolves YES to all countries listed that detonate nuclear weapons in 2026, and NO to all countries that didn't.
- Otherwise, all options resolve N/A. Update 2026-03-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Nuclear tests (non-combat detonations) count toward resolution, not just wartime use.
