Will the world population be 7 billion or less at any point before 2035?
GeopoliticaOne-OffSocietà e cultura8aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 87.4%
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 53 minuti fa
In ritardo11 set 26, 08:13 UTC31 dic 34, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if the estimated global human population is officially reported to be 7,000,000,000 (7 billion) or less at any point between the market's creation and December 31, 2034, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- The primary sources of truth for this market are:
- The United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs (UN DESA) Population Division, specifically via the World Population Prospects database or its official revision reports.
- The U.S. Census Bureau, specifically via the U.S. and World Population Clock or the International Database (IDB).
- Any serious sources or any world event that makes this possible.
