Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will world population reach 8.3 billion before 2028 according to the UN??

Manifold Markets quota Yes al 97.4% al 28 ottobre 2026.

Will world population reach 8.3 billion before 2028 according to the UN?

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

Sì 97.4%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 13 ore fa

Obsoleto

18 ago 26, 09:59 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Regole

The United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs (UN DESA) routinely tracks and projects global demographic shifts.

As debates around global population growth, resource sustainability, and shifting fertility rates intensify across social platforms, this market tracks a major near-term milestone: the world population officially crossing 8.3 billion.
### Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to YES if, at any point prior to January 1, 2028, at 00:00 UTC, the United Nations Population Division (or its official real-time data instruments backed by UN DESA) reports or estimates that the global human population has reached or exceeded 8,300,000,000.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO on January 1, 2028, provided no such official figure has been published by the UN prior to that date.
### Fine Print & Edge Cases