Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 97.4%
Previsori
13
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto18 ago 26, 09:59 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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MyriadRegole
The United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs (UN DESA) routinely tracks and projects global demographic shifts.
- As debates around global population growth, resource sustainability, and shifting fertility rates intensify across social platforms, this market tracks a major near-term milestone: the world population officially crossing 8.3 billion.
- ### Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, at any point prior to January 1, 2028, at 00:00 UTC, the United Nations Population Division (or its official real-time data instruments backed by UN DESA) reports or estimates that the global human population has reached or exceeded 8,300,000,000.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO on January 1, 2028, provided no such official figure has been published by the UN prior to that date.
- ### Fine Print & Edge Cases
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will world population reach 8.3 billion before 2028 according to the UN??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 97% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will world population reach 8.3 billion before 2028 according to the UN??
- Will world population reach 8.3 billion before 2028 according to the UN? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will world population reach 8.3 billion before 2028 according to the UN??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: The United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs (UN DESA) routinely tracks and projects global demographic shifts.