Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 95%
Previsori
45
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto17 giu 26, 21:25 UTC2 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the US attack Cuba before China attacks Taiwan?
Manifold MarketsWhere will the US attack in 2026? [add your answer]
Manifold MarketsWhich of the following things will happen in 2026 as a result of the US Attack on Venezuela?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump attack Cuba by the end of his term?
Manifold MarketsRepublican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
PolymarketWill the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves YES if the U.S. military attacks Cuba before the 2026 midterm elections on Nov 3, 2026.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- Update 2026-06-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified what counts as a military attack for resolution purposes:
- Counts (YES): Limited drone or missile strike, sustained bombing, full invasion
- Does NOT count (NO): Covert operatives conducting sabotage/assassination/kidnapping, or arming/directing a proxy group — unless done overtly under the US banner, or they lead to open war