Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 73.9%
Previsori
14
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo17 mar 26, 02:03 UTC20 gen 29, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the US attack Cuba before China attacks Taiwan?
Manifold MarketsWill the US attack Cuba before the 2026 midterm elections?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump make Cuba an American Territory?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump OR Marco Rubio visit Cuba before Trump’s presidency ends?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
PolymarketUS military action against Cuba by which date?
PolymarketRegole
Criteria of resolution: This market resolves YES if US armed forces conduct a publicly acknowledged military operation involving kinetic force in Cuba’s sovereign territory, meaning Cuban land, territorial sea, or national airspace.
- For this market, “US armed forces” includes the Army, Marine Corps, Navy, Air Force, Space Force, and Coast Guard.
- Official U.S. sources describe territorial sea and the airspace above it as part of a state’s territory, and the standard breadth is up to 12 nautical miles.
- This market resolves NO otherwise.
- Sanctions, embargoes, cyber operations, espionage, covert actions not publicly acknowledged, or threats without actual use of force.
- Routine activity at Guantánamo Bay that does not involve kinetic force directed into Cuban sovereign territory.
