Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 91.4%
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26
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo18 apr 26, 01:31 UTC21 gen 29, 00:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Trump make IVF free?
KalshiWill Trump make a serious attempt to remain in power after his term?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump make a statement supporting mainland China over Taiwan during his term?
Manifold MarketsWhat changes will Trump make to the Department of Education by the end of his term? Will he kill the Department and how?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump attack Cuba by the end of his term?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
PolymarketRegole
This will resolve YES if Cuba becomes an American territory, protectorate, state, or similar possession before the end of Trump’s term.
- Even if Trump doesn’t finish his term, the end date will not change and will resolve YES if Trump’s successor proceeds to make Cuba an American territory.