Previsione della comunità attuale
No 90%
Previsori
24
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto2 set 23, 15:14 UTC1 gen 28, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the scientific consensus that the universe's expansion is accelerating end before the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsHavana syndrome: As of 2030, what will be the public medical/scientific consensus of the cause?
Manifold MarketsIn 2035, will there be a scientific consensus that at least 1000 Americans died as a direct result of the Covid vaccine?
Manifold MarketsWill Massachusetts scientific R&D jobs rise YoY?
KalshiWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiRegole
Specifically, on Dec 31 2027.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Accelerating_expansion_of_the_universe
- Based on a discord conversation
Mercati aperti
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+10.0pt85%
- Before 2030+7.0pt83%
- Before 2029+17.9pt50%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 211K €
- Volume 24h
- 110,5K €
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 altri esiti
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
- Before 202812%
- Before 20275%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 28,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 21,3K €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Volume totale
- 1,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 5,2K €
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+4.0pt49%
- Before 2030+18.0pt39%
- Before 2032-9.0pt39%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 104,9K €
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Natural Disaster in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the scientific consensus that the universe's expansion is accelerating end before 2028??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 90% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the scientific consensus that the universe's expansion is accelerating end before 2028??
- Will the scientific consensus that the universe's expansion is accelerating end before 2028? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Will the scientific consensus that the universe's expansion is accelerating end before 2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Specifically, on Dec 31 2027.