Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 99%
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108
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
2 gen 24, 21:09 UTC1 gen 31, 05:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Who gets the Millennium Prize for solving Navier-Stokes?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the Navier-Stokes problem be solved?
Manifold MarketsWill the Navier-Stokes problem be solved before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketAnother Frontier Math Problem Solved by which date?
PolymarketWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiRegole
as per the Clay Mathematics Institute:
- Prove or give a counter-example of the following statement:
- In three space dimensions and time, given an initial velocity field, there exists a vector velocity and a scalar pressure field, which are both smooth and globally defined, that solve the Navier–Stokes equations.
- https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Navier%E2%80%93Stokes_existence_and_smoothness
- This market resolves to YES if the Clay Mathematics Institute (or equivalent organization) agrees that the Navier-Stokes problem has been solved, whether that be proved or disproved as per above by the end of 2030.
- Otherwise this market resolves to NO.
Mercati aperti
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+10.0pt85%
- Before 2030+7.0pt83%
- Before 2029+17.9pt50%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 211K €
- Volume 24h
- 110,5K €
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 altri esiti
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
- Before 202812%
- Before 20275%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 28,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 21,3K €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Volume totale
- 1,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 5,2K €
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+4.0pt49%
- Before 2030+18.0pt39%
- Before 2032-9.0pt39%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 104,9K €
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Natural Disaster in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the Navier-Stokes problem be solved by 2030??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 99% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the Navier-Stokes problem be solved by 2030??
- Will the Navier-Stokes problem be solved by 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2031.
- Come viene liquidato Will the Navier-Stokes problem be solved by 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: as per the Clay Mathematics Institute: