Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 91.6%
Previsori
48
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto29 giu 23, 16:04 UTC31 dic 26, 22:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Comey found guilty by the end of 2026?
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PolymarketWill Andrew Tate be found guilty of rape or human trafficking in the UK?
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Manifold MarketsTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PolymarketRegole
France is seeing civil unrest across many cities since Tuesday 2023-06-27 as a policeman shot Nahel, a 17yo who was driving without a licence in Nanterre (Paris suburb):
- https://www.nytimes.com/2023/06/29/world/europe/france-riots-nahel-shooting.html
- The policeman who shot his gun was just placed in custody and charged with homicide volontaire (first degree murder):
- https://www.francebleu.fr/infos/faits-divers-justice/mort-de-nahel-a-nanterre-le-policier-auteur-du-tir-est-mis-en-examen-et-place-en-detention-provisoire-6108318
- This market resolves YES if the first court who judges the case concludes guilty of murder (voluntary or not), resolves NO if deemed innocent (regardless of reason, e.g. in case of non-lieu).
- [link preview]
