Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 95.6%
Previsori
22
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto26 set 25, 01:52 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the cop who shot Nahel M. be found guilty of homicide?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump wins, will Trump be found guilty of a crime before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Vince McMahon be found guilty of sex trafficking?
Manifold MarketsSPLC found guilty in 2026?
PolymarketPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRegole
Resolves yes if James comes is found guilty by a court of the USA in his current indictment
- Update 2025-10-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market may not be limited to charges in the current indictment.
- Superseding or other indictments may be included in the resolution.
- Update 2025-10-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve based on the current effort to indict, not strictly limited to charges in the current indictment.
- This may include superseding indictments or other related indictments that are part of the same prosecutorial effort.
Mercati aperti
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 695,7K €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 altri esiti
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume totale
- 24,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 294,7K €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 54,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 291,3K €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Comey found guilty by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 96% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Comey found guilty by the end of 2026??
- Comey found guilty by the end of 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Comey found guilty by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves yes if James comes is found guilty by a court of the USA in his current indictment