Starship raggiungerà l'orbita terrestre prima del Blue Origin Lunar Lander?
RegolamentazioneSpaceYearlyTecnologia3mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 90.1%
Previsori
28
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto1 mar 26, 02:57 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution criteria
- Resolution will require the vehicle to reach a nominal orbit all other mission goals will not apply to the resolution criteria.
- Starship has never reached orbit; instead, SpaceX has followed a suborbital trajectory for the 10 integrated flight tests conducted to date.
- Blue Moon Pathfinder Mission 1 is a planned robotic lunar landing mission to be operated by Blue Origin, set to launch no earlier than early 2026.
- The Blue Moon lander is to be capable of conducting crewed lunar landings lasting up to 30 days, pending an uncrewed demonstration flight scheduled for 2027.
- Considerations
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Starship raggiungerà l'orbita terrestre prima del Blue Origin Lunar Lander??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 90% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Starship raggiungerà l'orbita terrestre prima del Blue Origin Lunar Lander??
- Starship raggiungerà l'orbita terrestre prima del Blue Origin Lunar Lander? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Starship raggiungerà l'orbita terrestre prima del Blue Origin Lunar Lander??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria