Will South Korea acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
One-OffGeopoliticaMiddle EastChinaLatin AmericaSouth Asia4a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 83%
Previsori
24
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto9 feb 24, 13:37 UTC1 mar 31, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Iran acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill Germany acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill Turkey acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWhat will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit Week of September 7 2026?
PolymarketWhat will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in September 2026?
PolymarketWill North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that South Korea has acquired at least one nuclear weapon before January 1st 2031.
- This device must be under the sovereign control of the South Korean State, and they must have the ability to use it independently.
- Different countries:
- @/RemNi/will-japan-acquire-nuclear-weapons
- @/RemNi/will-australia-acquire-nuclear-weap
- @/RemNi/will-south-korea-acquire-nuclear-we (this question)
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-6.0pt74%
- September 18-6.0pt69%
- September 11-10.0pt61%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 363K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)+0.3pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.3pt3%
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+3.0pt79.2%
- Yes-3.0pt20.8%
- Volume totale
- 9,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 245,5K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.1pt49.6%
- October 31-1.0pt29.1%
- September 30-1.0pt12%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 altri esiti
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 301%
- July 310%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 62,8 Mln €
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will South Korea acquire nuclear weapons before 2031??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 83% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will South Korea acquire nuclear weapons before 2031??
- Will South Korea acquire nuclear weapons before 2031? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 marzo 2031.
- Come viene liquidato Will South Korea acquire nuclear weapons before 2031??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that South Korea has acquired at least one nuclear weapon before January 1st 2031.