Will Germany acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
GeopoliticaOne-OffMiddle EastChinaLatin AmericaTecnologia4a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 96.2%
Previsori
35
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto9 feb 24, 13:39 UTC1 mar 31, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Iran acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill Turkey acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill Japan acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketUS imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?
PolymarketIran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Germany has acquired at least one nuclear weapon before January 1st 2031.
- This device must be under the sovereign control of the German State, and they must have the ability to use it independently.
- Different years:
- @/RemNi/will-germany-acquire-nuclear-weapon (this question)
- @/RemNi/will-germany-acquire-nuclear-weapon-4f9456e9a05e
- Different countries:
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 22,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 470,8K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume totale
- 35,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 100,1K €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 altri esiti
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Germany acquire nuclear weapons before 2031??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 96% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Germany acquire nuclear weapons before 2031??
- Will Germany acquire nuclear weapons before 2031? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 marzo 2031.
- Come viene liquidato Will Germany acquire nuclear weapons before 2031??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Germany has acquired at least one nuclear weapon before January 1st 2031.