Will Japan acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
GeopoliticaOne-OffMiddle EastChinaLatin AmericaTecnologia4a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 87.4%
Previsori
37
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto9 feb 24, 13:31 UTC1 mar 31, 22:59 UTC
Trend
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KalshiRegole
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Japan has acquired at least one nuclear weapon before January 1st 2031.
- This device must be under the sovereign control of the Japanese State, and they must have the ability to use it independently.
- Different countries:
- @/RemNi/will-japan-acquire-nuclear-weapons (this question)
- @/RemNi/will-australia-acquire-nuclear-weap
- @/RemNi/will-south-korea-acquire-nuclear-we
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Japan acquire nuclear weapons before 2031??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 87% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Japan acquire nuclear weapons before 2031??
- Will Japan acquire nuclear weapons before 2031? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 marzo 2031.
- Come viene liquidato Will Japan acquire nuclear weapons before 2031??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Japan has acquired at least one nuclear weapon before January 1st 2031.