Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 92.9%
Previsori
46
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto9 gen 23, 13:16 UTC1 gen 00, 05:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
If Trump is convicted, will he be pardoned? (2028)
Manifold MarketsPedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?
PolymarketWill Nick Reiner be pardoned by Trump?
Manifold MarketsWill French journalist Christophe Gleizes be pardoned or released from Algerian detention before December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsJames Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?
PolymarketPrince Andrew sentenced to prison?
PolymarketRegole
I criteri di risoluzione non sono ancora disponibili per questo mercato. Questa sezione verra popolata con i prossimi aggiornamenti quando le regole della fonte saranno salvate.
Mercati aperti
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume totale
- 10,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 25,8K €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31-2.0pt25%
- October 31-2.5pt11%
- September 30-0.6pt3%
+3 altri esiti
KALSHIWho will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- John Brennan-1.0pt52%
- Leon Black31%
- Anthony Fauci-4.0pt25%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,4 Mln €
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+23.0pt76.5%
- 60+-23.0pt13.3%
- <20-1.4pt8.2%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWho will be arrested before 2027?
- John Brennan27%
- Mahmoud Khalil+0.5pt19%
- James Clapper12%
+21 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 377,3K €
POLYMARKETSBF released from custody in 2026?
- No-0.1pt98%
- Yes+0.1pt2%
- Volume totale
- 398,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7K €
- Jimmy Lai released by which date?
- Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by which date?
- Who will be arrested in 2026?
- Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
- Jack Doherty Prison Time?
- Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?
- Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by which date?
- Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will SBF be pardoned??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 93% al 20 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will SBF be pardoned??
- Will SBF be pardoned? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2100.