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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Politica
  3. Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?
Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?

Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?

35.5% (24h)PoliticaOne-OffElezioneLatin AmericaCrime & Justice6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì
Sì 16%-0.3%
Qualita del mercato

68 / 100

Qualità media
Volume 24h

2,7K €

Liquidità

13,5K €

Liquidità media
Bid / Ask

15.0% / 16.0%

Spread

6.7%

Spread moderato
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 2 minuti fa

10 giu 26, 0:1131 dic 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Yes16%

Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
  • A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
  • Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
  • The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru.

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Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
  • A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
  • Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
  • The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru.