PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attualeSì 19%-0.1%
Qualita del mercato
28 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
69 €
Liquidità
554,4 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
14.0% / 23.0%
Spread
64.3%
Spread ampioVariazione 7g
-18.5%
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
10 giu 26, 0:0031 dic 26, 0:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Yes19%
Trend del volume
$782 lug25g di dati26 lug
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
- A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
- Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
- The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru.