Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 83.6%
Previsori
12
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto3 lug 26, 17:18 UTC3 lug 27, 17:15 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRussia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
PolymarketRegole
https://archive.is/BkISd
- Resolves YES if any of the following occur:
- Russian or Belarussian soldiers cross into Polish territory without explicit Polish permission
- Critical Polish infrastructure is targeted in a kinetic attack with Russian or Belarussian missiles or drones
- A "simulated air strike" from Russia or Belarus in which Poland activates its air defenses
- Resolves based on a consensus of credible reporting.