Will Russia invade a new country by the end of 2030?
One-OffGeopoliticaMedio OrienteRussia / Ucraina4a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 55.9%
Previsori
63
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo11 giu 24, 19:40 UTC1 gen 31, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Russia invade another country by which date?
PolymarketWhich countries will Russia invade by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia invade all continents and start wars in every continent before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia invade a NATO country by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia invade any NATO country before 31 December 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia invade a NATO country before 2030?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Criteria for Resolution:
- Definition of "New Country":
- - A "new country" refers to any country that is not being invaded and/or at least partially occupied by Russia or its proxies as of June 11, 2024.
- This excludes Ukraine, Moldova, and Georgia.
- Syria is also included for the sake of consistency, while there may be ambiguity on the correspondence of its case to the formal definitions given in this description.
- Definition of Invasion: