Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 85.3%
Previsori
54
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto23 apr 24, 11:55 UTC29 dic 27, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Iran use Nuclear weapons?
Manifold MarketsWill Poland acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill any country that is not currently known to have nuclear weapons detonate a nuclear weapon in 2026? (Tests included)
Manifold MarketsWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia invade another country in 2026?
PolymarketRegole
Both nuclear sharing and own developement count as YES.
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+7.0pt81.4%
- New People (NL)-3.6pt16.7%
- Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)-0.8pt1%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 28,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,5 Mln €
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No83.2%
- Yes16.8%
- Volume totale
- 58,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 290,2K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.2pt56.1%
- October 3131.8%
- September 30-2.0pt10.3%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31-2.0pt19%
- October 31-3.0pt10%
- September 30-1.6pt2%
+9 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No+0.5pt96%
- Yes-0.5pt4%
- Volume totale
- 36,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 129,1K €
POLYMARKETNext round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- March 31, 2027+1.5pt63%
- December-1.5pt41%
- October+3.5pt27%
+9 altri esiti
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Poland get nuclear weapons by the end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 85% al 18 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Poland get nuclear weapons by the end of 2027??
- Will Poland get nuclear weapons by the end of 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 29 dicembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Poland get nuclear weapons by the end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Both nuclear sharing and own developement count as YES.