Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 91.3%
Previsori
11
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto24 giu 26, 18:00 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will one of the significant German car manufacturers cease to exist by 2030?
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Manifold MarketsNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia invade another country by which date?
PolymarketRegole
This market resolves YES if, at any point on or before December 31, 2029, the North Atlantic Treaty Organization ceases to exist as defined below; otherwise it resolves NO.
- Resolves YES if any of the following occurs:
- The North Atlantic Treaty (the 1949 Washington Treaty) is formally terminated or abrogated, or NATO is formally dissolved, disbanded, or wound down as an organization, whether by agreement of its members or otherwise.
- NATO's core institutions are formally abolished such that the organization no longer operates — e.g., its command structure and headquarters are shut and the office of Secretary General is abolished with no continuation.
- NATO's membership falls below two states (a collective-defense alliance cannot exist with fewer than two members).
- Does NOT resolve YES (these are explicitly insufficient):