Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 97%
Previsori
30
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto17 mar 26, 14:08 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Iran cease to be an Islamic Republic by EOY 2031?
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PolymarketIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRegole
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if Iran ceases to exist as a sovereign nation-state by December 31, 2026. "Ceases to exist" means the Islamic Republic of Iran is no longer recognized as an independent country by the United Nations, its territory is partitioned among other nations, or it is formally dissolved or annexed.
- Resolution will be determined by official UN recognition status and major international news sources (Reuters, AP, BBC).
- Otherwise, it resolves NO.
