Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
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Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 41 minuti fa
25 giu 23, 03:24 UTC1 gen 00, 05:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will an alien invasion wipe out humanity by 2100?
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Manifold MarketsWill a nuclear war wipe out humanity by 2100?
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Manifold MarketsWill ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolves NO if humanity is still around in 2100.
- If we are not still around, then the resolution is up to whatever intelligent non-human beings, if any, exist in our wake.
- Hopefully, they will resolve it correctly based on whether or not it was nanotechnology that did us in.
