Verrà sviluppato un robot domestico affidabile e di uso generale prima del 1° gennaio 2030?
TecnologiaOne-OffScienza3aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 60%
Previsori
698
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
27 apr 23, 19:21 UTC2 gen 30, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will a robot be created that can fully substitute for a plumber before January 1st, 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill any real-world household robot benchmark appear by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill AIs be widely recognized as having developed a new, innovative, foundational mathematical theory before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
KalshiWill a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
KalshiWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiRegole
The development of general-purpose robots capable of performing household chores has been a long-standing goal in the field of robotics.
- Such a robot would need to be versatile, adaptable, and capable of handling a wide range of tasks and environments commonly found in American homes.
- Achieving this level of capability remains a significant challenge.
- Will a general household robot capable of performing household chores to a high level of reliability be developed before January 1st, 2030?
- Resolution Criteria:
- This question will resolve to "YES" if, before January 1st, 2030, a general household robot is developed anywhere in the world and has been publicly and credibly documented to have:
Mercati aperti
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 944,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 721,8K €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
- No73%
- Yes27%
- Volume totale
- 620K €
- Volume 24h
- 536K €
KALSHIGuyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons
- Guyana Amazon Warriors+4.0pt66.3%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons-3.0pt33.7%
- Volume totale
- 514,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 496,9K €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 428,7K €
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- BTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- BTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Verrà sviluppato un robot domestico affidabile e di uso generale prima del 1° gennaio 2030??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 60% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Verrà sviluppato un robot domestico affidabile e di uso generale prima del 1° gennaio 2030??
- Verrà sviluppato un robot domestico affidabile e di uso generale prima del 1° gennaio 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2030.
- Come viene liquidato Verrà sviluppato un robot domestico affidabile e di uso generale prima del 1° gennaio 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: The development of general-purpose robots capable of performing household chores has been a long-standing goal in the field of robotics.