Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 51.9%
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo4 gen 26, 09:35 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will a reliable and general household robot be developed before January 1st, 2030?
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PolymarketRegole
Resolves YES if, by Jan 1, 2028:
- a publicly documented benchmark exists that evaluates physical (non-simulated) household tasks;
- tasks have explicit success/failure criteria;
- results are intended for comparison across different robots or systems (not a single-vendor demo).
- Resolves NO otherwise.
Mercati aperti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will any real-world household robot benchmark appear by EOY 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 52% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will any real-world household robot benchmark appear by EOY 2027??
- Will any real-world household robot benchmark appear by EOY 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will any real-world household robot benchmark appear by EOY 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves YES if, by Jan 1, 2028: