Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 73.4%
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7
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto1 ago 26, 16:23 UTC1 gen 27, 00:00 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027?
Manifold MarketsMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by which date?
PolymarketMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by which date?
PolymarketCuba's Miguel Díaz-Canel captured or killed in 2026
Manifold MarketsDíaz-Canel still President of Cuba through the end of 2026?
FutuurWho will be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegole
The leader is whoever the de facto leader of Cuba is, regardless of their specific job title.
- Currently this is First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba Miguel Díaz-Canel.
- If there is a complicated messy civil war, this goes by who controls the capital and governing apparatus.
- I intend to go by a similar standard to the late CIA World Factbook (RIP) or the Wikipedia infobox, though I don't commit to matching them if they're outdated or inaccurate.
- (Identical market to: source market)
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75.5%
- New People (NL)-4.0pt21.4%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.5pt2%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 22,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 423,4K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.6pt47.1%
- October 31-1.0pt28.5%
- September 30-1.0pt13%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+3.0pt80%
- September 18+2.0pt75%
- September 11+12.0pt71%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Volume totale
- 35,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 95,4K €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 altri esiti
POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Yulia Navalnaya8%
- UNRWA-0.1pt7%
- International Court of Justice+1.1pt6%
+17 altri esiti
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 73% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027??
- Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: The leader is whoever the de facto leader of Cuba is, regardless of their specific job title.