KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 31 ott 2026, 02:16 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Punto medio del book selezionato
Before November 1, 2026 · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Prezzo registrato
Before November 1, 2026 3%In testa tra 4 esiti
Before November 1, 2026 3%Qualità del mercato
59 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
1K €
Open interest
116,8K USD
Open interest altoBid / Ask
— / —
Before November 1, 2026Spread
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 58 minuti fa
In ritardo22 ago 26, 21:00 UTC1 nov 26, 15:00 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Before October 1, 2026Persa
Before September 1, 2026Persa
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · Before November 1, 2026
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by which date?
PolymarketWill Miguel Díaz-Canel be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027?
Manifold MarketsCuba's Miguel Díaz-Canel captured or killed in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill Miguel Díaz-Canel be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027?
Manifold MarketsDíaz-Canel still President of Cuba through the end of 2026?
FutuurUS federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by which date?
PolymarketRegole
If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office before November 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:The New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCBloomberg NewsNBC
- An announcement that the Miguel Díaz-Canel will leave the office within the next year is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death). If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for making a binding determination of fair allocation. Clarification (05/23/26): To clarify, Miguel Díaz-Canel currently holds two positions relevant to this market: First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba and President of Cuba. For purposes of this contract, departure from either position will satisfy the Payout Criterion.
Regole per ogni esito
- Before November 1, 2026
- If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office before November 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before December 1, 2026
- If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office before December 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before October 1, 2026
- If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office before October 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before September 1, 2026
- If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office before September 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.