KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attualeBefore September 1, 2026 5%-1.2ptIn testa tra 4 esiti
Qualita del mercato
72 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
721,9 €
Liquidità
256,3K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
1.0% / 2.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 minuti fa
12 mag 26, 20:001 ago 26, 14:00
Trend
0%
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Before August 1, 20262%
Confronta le piattaforme· Before September 1, 2026
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiQuesta paginaMigliore in assoluto | Media | 5% | — | 721,9 € | 256,3K € | 16 minuti fa | |
 Polymarket80% di corrispondenza · verificato | Media | 30% | — | 569,3 € | 16,1K € | 16 minuti fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by which date?
0.5 ptsChiusi
-0.5pt30%
-0.2pt0%
0%
62 • Qualità mediaSpread moderatoLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità
Volume totale1,8 Mln €
Volume 24h569,3 €
POLYMARKETRegole
If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office before June 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An announcement that the Miguel Díaz-Canel will leave the office within the next year is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
- If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death).
- If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for making a binding determination of fair allocation.
- Clarification (05/23/26): To clarify, Miguel Díaz-Canel currently holds two positions relevant to this market: First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba and President of Cuba.
- For purposes of this contract, departure from either position will satisfy the Payout Criterion.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$8222 lug26g di dati27 lug
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If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office before June 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An announcement that the Miguel Díaz-Canel will leave the office within the next year is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
- If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death).
- If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for making a binding determination of fair allocation.
- Clarification (05/23/26): To clarify, Miguel Díaz-Canel currently holds two positions relevant to this market: First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba and President of Cuba.
- For purposes of this contract, departure from either position will satisfy the Payout Criterion.