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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Politica
  3. Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced?
Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced?

Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced?

12.0% (24h)One-OffPoliticaLatin America1m
KalshiKalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Before August 1, 2026
Before August 1, 2026 18%-12.0%
In testa tra 5 esiti
Qualita del mercato

44 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

44 €

Liquidità

2,5K €

Liquidità media
Bid / Ask

17.0% / 22.0%

Spread

29.4%

Spread ampio
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 5 minuti fa

12 mag 26, 20:001 ago 26, 14:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità
Before May 1, 2026
Before May 1, 2026
0%
Before June 1, 2026
Before June 1, 2026
0%

Esito scelto

Before August 1, 202618%

Regole

If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • An announcement that the Miguel Díaz-Canel will leave the office within the next year is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
  • If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death).
  • If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for making a binding determination of fair allocation.
  • Clarification (05/23/26): To clarify, Miguel Díaz-Canel currently holds two positions relevant to this market: First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba and President of Cuba.
  • For purposes of this contract, departure from either position will satisfy the Payout Criterion.

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Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,747.01+2.09%EthereumETH$1,658.04+1.67%SolanaSOL$65.18+1.70%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.48%XRPXRP$1.12+0.36%BNBBNB$596.37+1.81%

Notizie Correlate

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Regole

If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • An announcement that the Miguel Díaz-Canel will leave the office within the next year is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
  • If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death).
  • If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for making a binding determination of fair allocation.
  • Clarification (05/23/26): To clarify, Miguel Díaz-Canel currently holds two positions relevant to this market: First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba and President of Cuba.
  • For purposes of this contract, departure from either position will satisfy the Payout Criterion.