Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 52.1%
Previsori
14
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto15 ago 26, 14:50 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Luigi Mangione be convicted of murder, before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill I think jury nullification occured in the Luigi Mangione case?
Manifold MarketsWill James Comey’s criminal case be dismissed?
KalshiWill James Comey’s criminal case be dismissed?
LimitlessLuigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?
PolymarketLuigi Mangione tried before 2027?
PolymarketRegole
This market will resolve "YES" if the New York state murder case against Luigi Mangione is dismissed before a jury is sworn or the court accepts a guilty plea pursuant to a qualifying plea deal.
- If a jury is sworn or the court accepts a guilty plea pursuant to a qualifying plea deal, the market will resolve "NO".
- A qualifying plea deal is any plea deal where Luigi Mangione agrees to plead guilty or no contest and doesn't reserve any unique appeal rights.
- The resolution of this market will not be affected by the dismissal of other charges against Luigi Mangione or appeals of the dismissal.
- Should there be a dispute, the rules provided will control over the answer to the question itself.
- While the question is intended to provide an easy way for people to bet on their beliefs, it is not the end-all, be-all, and all traders should look at the rules.
Mercati aperti
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+4.5pt65%
- Yes-4.5pt35%
- Volume totale
- 347,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 27,4K €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026+0.1pt5%
- Volume totale
- 497,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 12,5K €
POLYMARKETNothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Yes+2.0pt83.2%
- No-2.0pt16.8%
- Volume totale
- 676K €
- Volume 24h
- 8,2K €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume totale
- 9,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 4,6K €
KALSHIWill Trump be impeached and removed from office?
- No84%
- Yes-1.0pt16%
- Volume totale
- 577,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 3,7K €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30+1.5pt7%
+3 altri esiti
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- What will Brett Kavanaugh say during his Notre Dame Lecture?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
- Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?
- Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Andrew Tate released from custody by which date?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Luigi Mangione's New York murder case be dismissed??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 52% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Luigi Mangione's New York murder case be dismissed??
- Will Luigi Mangione's New York murder case be dismissed? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Luigi Mangione's New York murder case be dismissed??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve "YES" if the New York state murder case against Luigi Mangione is dismissed before a jury is sworn or the court accepts a guilty plea pursuant to a qualifying plea deal.