Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 07:17 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attuale
No, civil time based on atomic time (e.g. TAI) and fully decoupled from Earth rotation 37.6%In testa tra 6 esiti
No, civil time based on atomic time (e.g. TAI) and fully decoupled from Earth rotation 37.6%Previsori
8
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto4 dic 23, 10:02 UTC31 dic 50, 23:00 UTC
Trend
Regole
(If they're replaced by leap minutes, there will be around one every few decades, and if they're replaced by leap hours, there will be around one every couple millennia.) Resolves based on what the rules are on 31 December 2050, regardless of how many or how few leap seconds/minutes/hours are actually added or subtracted.
- They don't have to be implemented as extra seconds/minutes/hours as today -- smoother adjustments would also count.
