Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeMilitary Installation or Static Deployment 100%In testa tra 5 esiti
Previsori
46
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 ore fa
Obsoleto28 feb 26, 07:32 UTC1 gen 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
100%
100%
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Iran directly strike a US military base in September 2026?
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PolymarketRegole
This is an independent multiple-choice market, multiple options can resolve YES if multiple distinct targets are hit.
- U.S. the named outcome: Resolves YES if direct Iranian forces strike a manned U.S. base, outpost, or recognized static troop deployment (e.g., Al Asad in Iraq, Tower 22 in Jordan, or THAAD batteries operating in allied nations).
- U.S. Mobile Military Asset (Naval or Air): Resolves YES if direct Iranian forces strike, intentionally ram (causing casualties/sinking), or shoot down a manned U.S. warship, logistics vessel, or military aircraft.
- U.S. the named outcome: Resolves YES if direct Iranian forces strike a recognized U.S. Embassy or Consulate.
- U.S. the named outcome: Resolves YES if a kinetic attack is successfully executed by recognized Iranian state agents within the 50 U.S. states or official U.S. territories.
- No Direct Attack Occurs in 2026: Resolves YES on Jan 1, 2027, if none of the above kinetic thresholds are crossed.